From what I heard it is planned to be presented at siggraph '08. It starts in 10 days, so I expect the OpenGL 3.0 specs to be out in two weeks.
Yes, Windows and Linux drivers do share the same OpenGL backend.
I don't know how long AMD/ATI will need to add support for OpenGL 3.0 in their drivers, but I would not be too surprised if it happened rather fast since they were involved in the specs part, too (just as nVidia was).
If you are looking for OpenGL 3.0 support with open drivers:
It will take "a little" longer. That is mesa is still at OpenGL 1.5 and won't switch to anything higher this soon. That is: It will switch to a higher OpenGL version when gallium is ready, no idea how long this will take.


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