Where is this "universal" reaction? From what I see, people have been pretty excited about Sailfish and Firefox OS, and to a lesser extent Tizen (which is still less known, so there's not so much noise about it).It's not.Take a look around the sites that follow this kind of things.Almost universal reaction to Tizen and Firefox OS was : "unimaginative","repetitive","to little to late",same for Tizen.There is a nice group of people around it but that is pretty much about it.Even when Firefox OS first get it's debut, concern was raised because of iphone (first) way of doing things.Remember,first iphone was all web.People see these OSs as cheap.60% I'll guess I will have to take your word on it because everyone else think It's nightmare to get successful today in smartphone space.
And the logic of 60% is sound: of the global cellphone market, that's the amount that is currently smartphones, the rest are still dumbphones. With the tech getting cheaper, it's predicted that all (or near enough all) cellphones will be smartphones within the next 10 years or so. That means there's room for the smartphone market to grow almost double its current size. That's not even considering the market growth that comes with industrialization of previously poor and underdeveloped regions.
People who think it's impossible for new players to get in the smartphone game are not thinking clearly. It's a volatile market, which means things can change rapidly. Remember that iphone was leading until recently, before that, Nokia.
What? I can't really follow your train of thought. Why would there be no drivers? Why would everyone except Ubuntu fail?There are no issues her I guess if you take fragmentation problem into consideration.I'm fine by it but not everyone wants distro spinoffs and to point again on first comment.So you get here group off people who follow like fans some OS like people do with iphone and people that have to reinvent everything from ground up.Its fine to say that now but it remains to see how other players are going to be fine with idea distros on smartphones,tablets,TV-s and everything else.It's already hard enough to get support for Allwinner board imagine that with brand new display server and no drivers.If that happens all that will remain from this push are sea of dead OSs.What use of wayland then ? Lets imagine that they fail and only remaining lingering OS is Ubuntu.Canonical would have all the say.
You're complaining about fragmentation, while you defend Canonical and Mir? How does that make sense?Again,this can be levitated with plugins like Gnome does but take a look how well(bad) that works now.I doubt they will bother to cater to everybody's needs.Few broken eggs,who gives a shit,right ?
So again you have to take that particular code and fork it witch in this case I'm repeating myself to much.My main issues here is fragmentation I was not very clear in that comment I admit that.
Anyway fragmentation doesn't really matter as long as there is compatibility. We have tons of desktop environments and window managers, and you can still run the same software on pretty much all of them, even when they're based on different toolkits.